Market
What will be the primary reason for Germany resuming Syrian asylum applications by the end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Improved security in Syria • 25%
International pressure • 25%
Domestic political changes • 25%
Other • 25%
Official statements from Germany's Federal Office for Migration and Refugees (BAMF)
Story
Germany Halts Asylum Decisions for 47,270 Syrians After Assad's Fall
Dec 9, 2024, 12:08 PM
Germany's Federal Office for Migration and Refugees (BAMF) has temporarily suspended all asylum decisions for Syrian nationals following the fall of former Syrian President Bashar al-Assad. This decision affects approximately 47,270 asylum applications, with about 46,000 being initial requests. The suspension comes as the situation in Syria is deemed too volatile to make reliable asylum decisions. Existing asylum decisions remain unaffected by this pause. The BAMF cited the need to assess the current conditions in Syria before proceeding with new decisions. This move reflects concerns that any rulings made under the current circumstances would be on shaky ground.
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Domestic policy changes • 25%
Improved situation in Syria • 25%
International pressure • 25%
Other reasons • 25%
Legal challenges • 25%
Domestic political change • 25%
International pressure • 25%
Improved situation in Syria • 25%
Resumed without changes • 25%
Not resumed • 25%
Resumed with more lenient criteria • 25%
Resumed with stricter criteria • 25%
Improved conditions in Syria • 25%
Increased pressure in Turkey • 25%
Enhanced facilitation processes • 25%
Other reasons • 25%
Denmark • 17%
Austria • 17%
None • 17%
Germany • 17%
Sweden • 17%
Norway • 17%
Increase support • 25%
Decrease support • 25%
Initiate deportations • 25%
Maintain current policy • 25%
Other • 25%
Economic incentives • 25%
Improved safety in Syria • 25%
Family reunification • 25%