Market
What will be the main reason for the resumption of Syrian asylum application processing in Germany by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Improved situation in Syria • 25%
International pressure • 25%
Domestic political change • 25%
Legal challenges • 25%
Official statements from BAMF or German government
Story
Germany Halts 47,270 Syrian Asylum Applications After Assad's Flight
Dec 9, 2024, 11:47 AM
The German Federal Office for Migration and Refugees (BAMF) has temporarily halted the processing of asylum applications from Syrian citizens following the collapse of the Assad regime in Syria, with Assad fleeing the country. This decision affects approximately 47,270 asylum applications, with around 46,000 being initial requests. The move comes in response to the volatile situation in Syria, making it difficult to assess whether fleeing the country is a valid reason for asylum. The BAMF has stated that decisions on these applications would be 'on shaky ground' due to the unclear circumstances in Syria. This suspension does not impact existing asylum decisions, ensuring that those already granted asylum remain safe.
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Other reasons • 25%
Improved situation in Syria • 25%
International pressure • 25%
Domestic policy changes • 25%
International pressure • 25%
Domestic political changes • 25%
Other • 25%
Improved security in Syria • 25%
Resumed • 25%
Deportations initiated • 25%
Other • 25%
Extended suspension • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Permanent suspension • 25%
Resumption with stricter criteria • 25%
Resumption with same criteria • 25%
Not resumed • 25%
Resumed without changes • 25%
Resumed with stricter criteria • 25%
Resumed with more lenient criteria • 25%
France • 25%
Austria • 25%
Other • 25%
Germany • 25%