Market
What will be the political balance in the House of Lords by June 30, 2025?
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Keir Starmer•Labour•House of Lords•Sue Gray•Partygate•Gray•Thangam Debbonaire•Julie Elliott•Lyn Brown•Steve McCabe•Kevin Brennan•Welsh•Carwyn Jones•Conservative•Kemi Badenoch•Thérèse Coffey•Rachel Maclean•Liberal Democrats
Resolution / Starting Odds
Labour majority • 25%
Conservative majority • 25%
No party majority • 25%
Liberal Democrats majority • 25%
Official records from the House of Lords
Story
Keir Starmer Nominates 30 New Labour Peers Including Sue Gray, Aims to Address Political Imbalance in House of Lords
Dec 20, 2024, 03:02 PM
Prime Minister Keir Starmer has nominated 30 new Labour peers to the House of Lords, including Sue Gray, his former chief of staff who was previously known for her role as the Partygate investigator. Gray resigned from her position in October amid internal rows. The list also includes former Labour MPs such as Thangam Debbonaire, Julie Elliott, Lyn Brown, Steve McCabe, and Kevin Brennan, as well as former Welsh first minister Carwyn Jones. Additionally, Conservative leader Kemi Badenoch nominated six new peers, including former Deputy Prime Minister Dame Thérèse Coffey and former housing minister Rachel Maclean. The Liberal Democrats also added two new peers to the list. This move aims to address the political imbalance in the House of Lords, where no party currently holds a majority.
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Conservative • 25%
Other • 25%
Labour • 25%
Liberal Democrats • 25%
Equal bipartisan support • 25%
Majority Republican support • 25%
Majority Democrat support • 25%
Majority opposition from both parties • 25%
Other outcome • 1%
Control remains unchanged • 33%
Democrats gain control • 33%
Republicans maintain control • 33%
David Evans • 25%
Luciana Berger • 25%
Sue Gray • 25%
Thangam Debbonaire • 25%
Failed • 25%
Stalled in committee • 25%
Passed • 25%
Not introduced • 25%
Thangam Debbonaire • 25%
Luciana Berger • 25%
David Evans • 25%
Sue Gray • 25%
3-5 seats • 25%
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More than 10 seats • 25%
Increased partisan division • 25%
Increased bipartisanship • 25%
Stable dynamics • 25%
Other • 25%
Reform UK wins • 25%
Other party wins • 25%
Labour wins • 25%
Conservatives win • 25%
Other • 25%
Equal Gain • 25%
Democratic Party • 25%
Republican Party • 25%
Mostly negative • 25%
Mixed • 25%
Indifferent • 25%
Mostly positive • 25%