Market
What will be the outcome of UK-Pakistan cooperation regarding extradition in similar cases by end of 2025?
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Urfan Sharif•Beinash Batool•Sharif•Sara Sharif•Old Bailey•UK•Sara•Woking•Surrey•WhatsApp•Faisal Malik•Pakistan
Resolution / Starting Odds
New extradition agreement • 25%
Existing agreements strengthened • 25%
No changes • 25%
Diplomatic tensions • 25%
Official announcements or agreements between the UK and Pakistan
Story
Father, Stepmother Convicted of 10-Year-Old Sara Sharif's Murder; Uncle Found Guilty of Allowing Death
Dec 11, 2024, 01:31 PM
Urfan Sharif, 42, and his wife Beinash Batool, 30, have been found guilty of murdering Sharif's 10-year-old daughter, Sara Sharif, following a trial at the Old Bailey in the UK. Sara was found dead at her home in Woking, Surrey, with over 70 injuries indicative of prolonged abuse. The court heard that she had been hooded, tied up, beaten with a cricket bat, burnt with an iron, and bitten during a sustained campaign of abuse over more than two years. WhatsApp messages provided a snapshot of the violence she endured. Her uncle, Faisal Malik, 29, was found guilty of causing or allowing her death. After Sara's death, the three fled to Pakistan but were later arrested upon their return to the UK. The case has raised questions about missed opportunities by social services and authorities to protect Sara, despite signs of her abuse.
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Similar markets
Mixed outcomes • 25%
UK wins all challenges • 25%
Settlements reached • 25%
UK loses all challenges • 25%
No official response • 25%
Condemn US actions • 25%
Support US actions • 25%
Neutral response • 25%
No change • 25%
Increased convictions • 25%
Other • 25%
Decreased convictions • 25%
Itamaraty confirms voluntary returns • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
UK admits involuntary deportations • 25%
No official resolution • 25%
Increase in smuggling activities • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Policy reversal or modification • 25%
Successful reduction in smuggling • 25%
No talks held • 25%
Ongoing talks • 25%
Resolution reached • 25%
Talks failed • 25%
Deferred • 25%
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Extradition denied • 25%
No decision by deadline • 25%
Extradition approved • 25%
Extradition postponed • 25%
Partial success with ongoing threats • 25%
Successful in neutralizing targets • 25%
No significant impact • 25%
Operation failure • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Deportation or expulsion • 25%
Formal charges filed • 25%
No action taken • 25%
All acquitted • 25%
All convicted • 25%
Mistrial or other outcome • 25%
Some convicted, some acquitted • 25%
Formal recognition of HTS • 25%
Continued diplomatic contact without recognition • 25%
Withdrawal of diplomatic engagement • 25%
Imposition of sanctions • 25%