Market
What will be the outcome of Trump's TikTok reinstatement attempt by end of 2025?
5
Resolution / Starting Odds
Reinstated • 25%
Not Reinstated • 25%
Partial Reinstatement • 25%
Abandoned Effort • 25%
Official announcements or news reports from credible sources
Story
Trump's Plan to Revive TikTok Aims to Win Over Gen Z Voters for Midterms and 2028
Jan 19, 2025, 03:51 PM
Former President Donald Trump is reportedly working on a plan to revive TikTok, aiming to appeal to Generation Z voters. Analysts suggest that if Trump successfully reinstates the popular social media platform, he could significantly enhance his popularity among younger voters, potentially leading to a shift in political allegiance. Observers note that Gen Z's affinity for TikTok could translate into increased support for Trump and the Republican Party in upcoming elections, including the midterms and the 2028 presidential race. The revival of TikTok is seen as a strategic move that could position Trump favorably among younger demographics who are influential in shaping electoral outcomes.
View original story
Similar markets
Ban partially lifted • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban fully reversed • 25%
Ban remains • 25%
Ban enforced • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Ban modified • 25%
TikTok remains with ByteDance • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
Other • 25%
TikTok sold to a U.S. company • 25%
Ban TikTok • 25%
Other • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Restrict TikTok • 25%
Order issued but legally blocked • 25%
Order issued but rescinded • 25%
Order not issued • 25%
Order issued and enforced • 25%
Ban remains • 25%
Other • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
Ban delayed • 25%
90-day reprieve granted • 25%
Ban remains in place • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban lifted permanently • 25%
Biden administration assures non-enforcement • 25%
TikTok shuts down • 25%
Service providers continue support • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban remains • 25%
No Executive Order • 25%
Ban lifted • 25%
Ban paused • 25%
Not banned, but ByteDance divests • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Banned • 25%
Not banned, no divestment • 25%
Supportive of TikTok • 25%
Critical of TikTok • 25%
Other • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Temporary extension granted • 25%
TikTok banned in the U.S. • 25%
ByteDance divests and TikTok continues in the U.S. • 25%
Other outcome • 25%