Market
What will be the outcome of the U.S. Supreme Court ruling on TikTok by the end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
TikTok remains operational without changes • 25%
TikTok operates with ByteDance divestment • 25%
TikTok is banned • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
U.S. Supreme Court decisions or legislative changes
Story
TikTok CEO Thanks Trump for Commitment to Keep App Available Amid Supreme Court Ban
Jan 17, 2025, 06:35 PM
TikTok CEO Shou Zi Chew has publicly thanked President-elect Donald Trump for his commitment to finding a solution to keep the app available in the United States. This comes after the U.S. Supreme Court upheld a law that could ban TikTok starting Sunday, unless its parent company, ByteDance, divests its U.S. operations. Chew emphasized TikTok's role in protecting the constitutional right to free speech for its over 170 million American users. He highlighted Trump's engagement with the platform, noting that Trump's content has generated over 60 billion views. The Biden administration has decided to leave the enforcement of the ban to the incoming Trump administration, with Trump indicating he will review the situation before making a decision. Chew's statement was made in a video posted on TikTok, his first public comment since the Supreme Court's ruling.
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Upheld - TikTok must be sold • 25%
Upheld - TikTok must be shut down • 25%
Overturned - No action required • 25%
Other • 25%
TikTok banned • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
TikTok operational with restrictions • 25%
TikTok operational without changes • 25%
No resolution • 25%
Ruling upheld • 25%
Ruling overturned • 25%
Ruling modified • 25%
Decision postponed • 34%
Ban overturned • 33%
Ban upheld • 33%
Decision deferred • 34%
Other • 25%
Ban enforced • 33%
Delay granted • 25%
Operations halted • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Operations continue • 25%
Divestment approved • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
TikTok wins • 25%
Government wins • 25%
Case postponed • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
TikTok ban overturned • 25%
TikTok ban upheld • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ban implemented • 25%
Ban delayed • 25%
Ban overturned • 25%
Case Dismissed • 25%
No Decision by Deadline • 25%
Appeal Rejected • 25%
Appeal Accepted • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Delay granted • 25%
Delay denied • 25%
Settlement reached • 25%
No decision by deadline • 25%
Appeal denied • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Appeal upheld • 25%
Other Outcome • 25%
Ban Upheld • 25%
Appeal Denied • 33%
Case Dismissed • 25%
Ban Overturned • 25%
Appeal Granted • 33%
No Ruling by Deadline • 34%