Market
What will be the outcome of the police investigation into the martial law declaration by December 31, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
No charges • 25%
Charges against President Yoon • 25%
Charges against military officials • 25%
Charges against both • 25%
Official findings released by South Korean police or government
Story
South Korea’s President Yoon Denies Rebellion Charges, Vows to ‘Fight to the End’ After Last Week's Martial Law; Ruling Party Leader Calls for Impeachment
Dec 12, 2024, 01:53 AM
South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol has defended his declaration of martial law last week, asserting it was a legal move to protect democracy amid accusations of election hacking by North Korea. Denying rebellion charges, Yoon labeled the opposition as 'anti-state forces' who 'paralyze state affairs', and vowed to 'fight to the end' while refusing to resign. He stated that he only discussed the martial law declaration with the defense minister. The ruling party leader, Han Dong-hoon, has called for Yoon's impeachment, highlighting deep divisions within the ruling party. Police investigations into the martial law declaration are ongoing, with authorities unable to enter the president's office, and military officials involved being suspended from duties. Additionally, the former defense minister attempted suicide while in custody over the martial law case.
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Similar markets
Convictions for all key officials • 25%
Convictions for some key officials • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
No convictions • 25%
Yoon found guilty • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Yoon exonerated • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Charges dropped • 25%
Trial initiated • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Charges filed against Yoon • 25%
Both Kim and President Yoon charged • 25%
Kim Yong-hyun charged • 25%
No charges filed • 25%
President Yoon charged • 25%
Travel ban only • 25%
No action taken • 25%
President Yoon cleared of wrongdoing • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
President Yoon found guilty • 25%
Formal charges filed • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Charges filed • 25%
No charges filed • 25%
Guilty of some charges • 25%
Guilty of all charges • 25%
Not guilty • 25%
Charges dropped • 25%
Investigation dropped • 25%
Mixed outcomes • 25%
Multiple convictions • 25%
Acquittals • 25%
Formal charges filed • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
No charges • 25%
Censure or reprimand • 25%
Other • 25%
Public opinion remains divided • 25%
Majority support investigation • 25%
Majority oppose investigation • 25%
Justified • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Unjustified • 25%
