Market
What will be the outcome of the government shutdown negotiations involving Mike Johnson by January 31, 2025?
3
Republican•Rand Paul•Mike Lee•Elon Musk•House•Paul•Congress•Musk•Vivek Ramaswamy•Marjorie Taylor Greene•Mike Johnson
Resolution / Starting Odds
Shutdown averted • 25%
Short-term resolution • 25%
Long-term budget deal • 25%
Prolonged shutdown • 25%
Official government announcements on the resolution of the shutdown
Story
Rand Paul and Mike Lee Suggest Elon Musk or Vivek Ramaswamy for House Speaker
Dec 19, 2024, 04:40 PM
Several Republican figures, including Senators Rand Paul and Mike Lee, have suggested that Elon Musk be considered for the role of Speaker of the House, citing the potential for the billionaire entrepreneur to 'disrupt the swamp.' Paul noted, 'Nothing would disrupt the swamp more than electing Elon Musk... think about it... nothing's impossible.' He highlighted that the Speaker does not need to be a member of Congress and proposed Musk as a candidate following his influence in derailing a bipartisan short-term spending bill. Mike Lee also floated the idea of either Musk or businessman Vivek Ramaswamy as Speaker, stating it would 'revolutionize everything' and lead to 'a government of, by, and for the people.' Representative Marjorie Taylor Greene expressed openness to supporting Musk for the position. The suggestions come amid growing discontent with current Speaker Mike Johnson over budget negotiations and a looming government shutdown. Musk's increasing involvement in political matters, including his recent opposition to the spending bill, has garnered attention from conservative lawmakers seeking unconventional leadership options.
View original story
Similar markets
Shutdown occurs • 25%
Short-term funding bill passed • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Continuing Resolution passed • 25%
Debt ceiling suspended without shutdown • 25%
Shutdown occurs but resolved before January 31 • 25%
Shutdown averted with new funding bill • 25%
Shutdown extends beyond January 31 • 25%
Temporary funding bill passed • 25%
Shutdown continues into 2025 • 25%
Debt ceiling increase only • 25%
Full budget passed • 25%
15-30 days • 25%
More than 30 days • 25%
8-14 days • 25%
1-7 days • 25%
Fails to pass • 25%
Passes with all provisions intact • 25%
Passes with significant amendments • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Bipartisan agreement reached • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Other • 25%
Partisan agreement with concessions • 25%
Alternative bill passed • 25%
Bill fails • 25%
Bill passes without debt ceiling measures • 25%
Bill passes with debt ceiling measures • 25%