Market
What will be the outcome of the current U.S. spending bill negotiations by March 14, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Bill passes with debt ceiling measures • 25%
Bill passes without debt ceiling measures • 25%
Bill fails • 25%
Alternative bill passed • 25%
Official legislative records and announcements from major news outlets
Story
Trump Says Johnson Will 'Easily Remain Speaker' in Next Congress If He Acts Tough on Spending Bill
Dec 19, 2024, 02:16 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has stated that House Speaker Mike Johnson will 'easily remain speaker' in the next Congress if he acts 'decisively and tough' on the current spending bill. Trump emphasized the need for Johnson to eliminate 'all of the traps being set by Democrats' within the legislation, warning that failure to do so could economically harm the country. This comes after a bipartisan deal to avoid a partial government shutdown was abandoned, following criticism from Trump and other conservative figures. The proposed spending bill, which was set to extend government funding until March 14, 2025, included over $100 billion in disaster aid, $10 billion for farmers, and a pay raise for members of Congress. Trump has suggested that any Republican supporting a bill that does not address the debt ceiling should face a primary challenge.
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Similar markets
Passes with all provisions intact • 25%
Passes with significant amendments • 25%
Fails to pass • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Passed with amendments • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Withdrawn • 25%
Passed without amendments • 25%
Fails • 25%
Other amendments • 25%
Passes without pay raise • 25%
Passes with pay raise • 25%
Passed without Amendments • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Still Blocked • 25%
Passed with Amendments • 25%
Debt ceiling suspended • 25%
Other • 25%
Debt ceiling raised • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Rejected • 25%
Amended • 25%
Passed • 25%
No action • 25%
Bill fails to pass • 25%
Bill passes unchanged • 25%
Bill delayed beyond January 31, 2025 • 25%
Bill passes with amendments • 25%
Fails • 25%
Postponed • 25%
Passes with Pay Raise • 25%
Passes without Pay Raise • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Supportive • 25%
Opposed • 25%
No significant comment • 25%
No significant protests • 25%
Protests lead to policy changes • 25%
Major protests in multiple states • 25%
Minor protests in a few locations • 25%