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What will be the outcome of the federal return-to-office mandate by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Full compliance • 25%
Partial compliance • 25%
Mandate withdrawn • 25%
Mandate delayed • 25%
Official announcements from the U.S. Office of Personnel Management or federal government press releases
Story
Trump Plans Mandate for Two Million Federal Workers to Return to Office by January, Threatens Dismissal
Dec 27, 2024, 10:08 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has announced plans to mandate that federal workers return to in-person work, threatening dismissal for those who do not comply. This initiative is expected to encounter challenges due to existing union contracts that allow for remote work. Currently, approximately half of the more than two million federal employees in the United States are working from home in some capacity. As Republicans prepare to take control of Washington in January, they are emphasizing a return to office work for federal employees, a move that may face resistance from unions and employees accustomed to remote work arrangements.
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50% to 74% • 25%
90% or more • 25%
75% to 89% • 25%
Less than 50% • 25%
Extended remote work • 25%
Hybrid model introduced • 25%
Policy unchanged • 25%
Remote work ends • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Workers dismissed • 25%
Legal proceedings ongoing • 25%
Compromise reached • 25%
Agreement upheld • 25%
Minimal changes • 25%
No changes • 25%
Significant changes implemented • 25%
Changes reversed • 25%
Low public engagement • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Majority opposition • 25%
Majority support • 25%
No change • 25%
Telework expanded • 25%
Telework maintained • 25%
Telework reduced • 25%
Deal upheld • 34%
Deal partially modified • 33%
Deal fully overturned • 33%