Market
What percentage of federal workers will be working remotely by December 31, 2025?
1
Resolution / Starting Odds
0-25% • 25%
26-50% • 25%
51-75% • 25%
76-100% • 25%
Reports from the U.S. Office of Personnel Management or federal government statistics
Story
Trump Plans Mandate for Two Million Federal Workers to Return to Office by January, Threatens Dismissal
Dec 27, 2024, 10:08 PM
President-elect Donald Trump has announced plans to mandate that federal workers return to in-person work, threatening dismissal for those who do not comply. This initiative is expected to encounter challenges due to existing union contracts that allow for remote work. Currently, approximately half of the more than two million federal employees in the United States are working from home in some capacity. As Republicans prepare to take control of Washington in January, they are emphasizing a return to office work for federal employees, a move that may face resistance from unions and employees accustomed to remote work arrangements.
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10% to 25% • 25%
More than 50% • 25%
26% to 50% • 25%
Less than 10% • 25%
More than 15% • 25%
Less than 5% • 25%
5% to 10% • 25%
10% to 15% • 25%
More than 20% • 25%
10% to 15% • 25%
Less than 10% • 25%
16% to 20% • 25%
51-75% • 25%
0-25% • 25%
26-50% • 25%
76-100% • 25%
Extended remote work • 25%
Policy unchanged • 25%
Hybrid model introduced • 25%
Remote work ends • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
5% to 7.5% • 25%
Less than 5% • 25%
7.5% to 10% • 25%
More than 10% • 25%