Market
What will be the outcome of Snowden clemency discussions by end of 2025?
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Edward Snowden•Trump•Tulsi Gabbard•National Intelligence•Gabbard•Matt Gaetz•Snowden•Section•Foreign Surveillance Intelligence Act•American•United States
Resolution / Starting Odds
Clemency Granted • 33%
Clemency Denied • 33%
No Decision • 34%
Official statements or legal documents from the White House or Department of Justice
Story
Edward Snowden Clemency Advocated by Tulsi Gabbard, Trump Allies
Nov 30, 2024, 03:41 PM
Edward Snowden may receive clemency under the new Trump administration, as several powerful allies within the administration are advocating for this move. Tulsi Gabbard, the incoming Director of National Intelligence, is a notable supporter. As a Congresswoman, Gabbard co-sponsored a resolution with Matt Gaetz in 2020 calling for all charges against Snowden to be dropped. Additionally, Gabbard has expressed opposition to Section 702 of the Foreign Surveillance Intelligence Act, which authorizes electronic surveillance on American soil. The clemency push aligns with broader discussions around surveillance and whistleblower protections in the United States.
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Convicted • 25%
Plea Deal • 25%
Pardoned • 25%
Case Dismissed • 25%
Majority Support Clemency • 25%
Even Split • 25%
Insufficient Data • 25%
Majority Oppose Clemency • 25%
No Opinion • 25%
Mostly Approve • 25%
Mostly Disapprove • 25%
Mixed/Neutral • 25%
Biden decides against pardoning Trump • 25%
No official decision announced • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Biden pardons Trump • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Mixed opinions • 25%
Increase in approval • 25%
Decrease in approval • 25%
No Decision by 2025 • 25%
Request Denied • 25%
Sentence Commuted • 25%
Clemency Granted • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Clemency overturned • 25%
Clemency upheld • 25%
No legal challenge filed • 25%
Majority Support • 25%
Evenly Split • 25%
Uncertain/No Opinion • 25%
Majority Oppose • 25%
Ongoing investigation • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Guilty verdict posthumously • 25%
Minimal Coverage • 25%
Predominantly Positive • 25%
Predominantly Negative • 25%
Balanced • 25%
No challenges • 25%
Challenges dismissed • 25%
Ongoing challenges • 25%
Successful challenges • 25%