Market
What will be the outcome of Rand Paul's clemency request for Ross Ulbricht by end of 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Clemency Granted • 25%
Sentence Commuted • 25%
Request Denied • 25%
No Decision by 2025 • 25%
Official announcements from the White House or relevant government bodies
Story
Senator Rand Paul Urges President Trump to Free Silk Road Founder Ross Ulbricht from Life Sentence
Jan 21, 2025, 09:57 PM
Senator Rand Paul has urged President Donald Trump to free Ross Ulbricht, the founder of Silk Road, who is currently serving a life sentence. Paul's request comes in the form of a letter asking for clemency or a commutation of Ulbricht's sentence. This move aligns with Trump's previous campaign promises to consider Ulbricht's case.
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Similar markets
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No Decision Made • 34%
Clemency Denied • 33%
Clemency Granted • 33%
Majority Oppose Clemency • 25%
Majority Support Clemency • 25%
Insufficient Data • 25%
Even Split • 25%
New Legislation Proposed • 25%
No Significant Action • 25%
Increased Advocacy for Reform • 25%
Legal Challenges to Pardon • 25%
Ongoing challenges • 25%
No challenges • 25%
Challenges dismissed • 25%
Successful challenges • 25%
Indifferent • 25%
Divided • 25%
Supportive • 25%
Opposed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Pardon granted • 25%
No action taken • 25%
Sentence commuted • 25%
Neutral/Indifferent • 25%
Mostly Positive • 25%
Mixed • 25%
Mostly Negative • 25%