What will be the outcome of Pakistan's request for nuclear second-strike capability from China by the end of 2025?
China agrees to provide capability • 25%
China refuses the request • 25%
Negotiations are ongoing • 25%
Negotiations are suspended • 25%
Official statements from the governments involved or credible reports from international security organizations
Pakistan Seeks Nuclear Second-Strike Capability from China for Gwadar Base Amid Deteriorating Ties
Dec 13, 2024, 03:35 AM
In recent developments, the Pakistani military has reportedly engaged in secret negotiations with China, seeking nuclear second-strike capability. In exchange, Pakistan is considering allowing China to establish a military base at the strategically significant Gwadar port. This request highlights the deteriorating ties between the two nations, which have historically been allies. The situation underscores the complex geopolitical dynamics at play as major global powers, including the United States, Russia, and China, navigate security dilemmas and arms control challenges. Analysts suggest that the modernization of China's nuclear arsenal and Russia's potential resumption of nuclear testing contribute to a heightened global security dilemma, raising concerns about a new arms race.
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Continued development without test • 25%
Successful long-range test • 25%
Shift to short-range focus • 25%
Halted development • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Military deterrence measures • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
UN sanctions • 25%
Less than 800 warheads • 25%
More than 1,000 warheads • 25%
800 to 1,000 warheads • 25%
Official count not disclosed • 25%
UN Security Council resolution • 25%
Increased monitoring by IAEA • 25%
No action • 25%
Sanctions by international bodies • 25%
No significant response • 25%
US increases military presence in Asia • 25%
Increased diplomatic tensions • 25%
New international treaty discussions • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No significant response • 25%
Military alliances • 25%
Diplomatic talks • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
801-900 warheads • 25%
600-700 warheads • 25%
701-800 warheads • 25%
Over 900 warheads • 25%
Policy expansion • 25%
Policy suspension • 25%
Policy continuation • 25%
Policy reduction • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Alliance with China • 25%
No new alliances • 25%
Alliance with Middle Eastern countries • 25%
Alliance with Russia • 25%