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What will be the outcome of North Korean troops' involvement in Kursk by the end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Withdrawal due to high casualties • 25%
Successful adaptation and integration • 25%
Stalemate with no significant gains • 25%
Other • 25%
End-of-year military assessments and reports from international observers
Story
12,000 North Korean Troops Adapt to Modern Warfare in Russia's Kursk Region Amid High Casualties
Jan 20, 2025, 01:40 AM
North Korean soldiers deployed to Russia's Kursk region are facing significant challenges adapting to modern warfare, particularly drone technology, according to reports from Ukrainian and international sources. Initially, these 12,000 elite troops moved in large groups across open landscapes, making them vulnerable to Ukrainian drone attacks, resulting in high casualties. However, recent observations suggest that North Korean forces are quickly learning from their battlefield experiences, adjusting their tactics to better suit the conditions. Ukrainian forces have noted that North Korean soldiers show a high level of ideological motivation and do not retreat despite heavy losses. The presence of North Korean troops alongside Russian forces has been confirmed by the capture of two North Korean soldiers, who were found to be equipped with Russian uniforms and fake military documents. Additionally, a New Year's message from North Korean leader Kim Jong-un, found on a captured soldier, encouraged the troops to fight with courage and expressed gratitude for their dedication, indicating a direct involvement of North Korean leadership in the conflict.
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Stalemate with no significant changes • 25%
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