Market
What will be the next major military operation involving North Korean troops in Kursk by April 30, 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Offensive Operation • 25%
Defensive Operation • 25%
Training Exercise • 25%
None • 25%
Official military announcements, reports from credible news agencies
Story
North Korean Troops in Kursk Suffer 100 Killed, 1,000 Injured Due to Lack of Drone Experience
Dec 19, 2024, 03:26 AM
North Korean troops have suffered significant casualties while fighting alongside Russian forces in Russia's Kursk region, according to reports from South Korean intelligence and Ukrainian military sources. At least 100 North Korean soldiers have been killed and over 1,000 injured in recent combat operations. The high casualty rate is attributed to the North Korean soldiers' lack of experience with drone warfare and their deployment in unfamiliar open terrain. Ukrainian Special Operations Forces reported killing 50 North Korean soldiers and injuring 47 others over three days of fighting. Additionally, there have been reports of North Korean troops mistakenly killing 8 Russian soldiers due to language barriers, highlighting interoperability issues between the two forces. Approximately 11,000 North Korean troops have been deployed to the region.
View original story
Similar markets
Complete integration into Russian forces • 25%
Increased deployment • 25%
Withdrawal of troops • 25%
Stalemate situation • 25%
Economic incentives • 25%
Political pressure • 25%
Other • 25%
Military alliance with Russia • 25%
Withdrawal due to high casualties • 25%
Other • 25%
Stalemate with no significant gains • 25%
Successful adaptation and integration • 25%
Significant territorial gains for Ukraine • 25%
Significant territorial gains for Russia • 25%
Complete withdrawal of North Korean troops • 25%
Stalemate with no significant changes • 25%
Complete withdrawal • 25%
Increased presence • 25%
Decreased presence • 25%
No change • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Change in North Korean leadership • 25%
Change in Russian military strategy • 25%
No changes reported • 25%
Joint Russian-North Korean military strategy • 25%
Withdrawal of troops • 25%
No major development • 25%
Increase in troop numbers • 25%
Significant casualties reported • 25%
Withdrawal of North Korean troops • 25%
Territorial gains for Ukraine • 25%
Stalemate with no significant change • 25%
Significant territorial gains for Russia • 25%
Troop Deployment • 25%
Artillery Supply • 25%
Other Military Support • 25%
Supply of Drones • 25%
More than 100 • 25%
51 to 100 • 25%
10 to 50 • 25%
Less than 10 • 25%