Market
What will be the outcome of legal challenges to California's zero-emission regulations by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
No legal challenges • 25%
Minor legal challenges • 25%
Major legal challenges • 25%
Regulations overturned • 25%
Court rulings and legal documents
Story
Biden EPA Approves California Gas Car Ban Starting 2026; Trump Vows Reversal
Dec 18, 2024, 03:22 PM
The Biden administration's Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) has granted California two waivers under the Clean Air Act, allowing the state to implement regulations requiring the sale of zero-emission vehicles starting with model year 2026 and culminating in a ban on new gasoline-powered car sales by 2035. This approval permits California to enforce stricter emissions standards than federal regulations in an effort to reduce carbon emissions. Seventeen other states follow California's lead on emissions policies. The move may face opposition from President-elect Donald Trump, who has indicated plans to reverse the decision upon taking office.
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Similar markets
Compromise reached • 34%
Ban overturned • 33%
Ban upheld • 33%
Upheld • 33%
Partially Overturned • 33%
Fully Overturned • 34%
Partial modifications • 34%
Ban overturned • 33%
Ban upheld • 33%
Uphold California's standards • 25%
Strike down California's standards • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Remand to lower court • 25%
Re-submit EPA waiver requests • 25%
Introduce new state regulations • 25%
No new actions taken • 25%
Other • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Challenges filed but no rulings • 25%
No challenges filed • 25%
Challenges ruled in favor of Trump admin • 25%
Challenges ruled in favor of CA • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
By December 31, 2025 • 25%
By March 31, 2025 • 25%
By June 30, 2025 • 25%
By September 30, 2025 • 25%