Market
How will automakers respond to California's zero-emission regulations by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Full compliance • 25%
Partial compliance • 25%
Lobbying against regulations • 25%
Legal action against regulations • 25%
Official statements from major automobile manufacturers
Story
Biden EPA Approves California Gas Car Ban Starting 2026; Trump Vows Reversal
Dec 18, 2024, 03:22 PM
The Biden administration's Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) has granted California two waivers under the Clean Air Act, allowing the state to implement regulations requiring the sale of zero-emission vehicles starting with model year 2026 and culminating in a ban on new gasoline-powered car sales by 2035. This approval permits California to enforce stricter emissions standards than federal regulations in an effort to reduce carbon emissions. Seventeen other states follow California's lead on emissions policies. The move may face opposition from President-elect Donald Trump, who has indicated plans to reverse the decision upon taking office.
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Similar markets
Tesla • 25%
Ford • 25%
General Motors • 25%
Other • 25%
Other • 25%
Compliance • 25%
Legal Challenge • 25%
Lobbying for Revision • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increase EV prices • 25%
Decrease EV production • 25%
Shift focus to gas-powered vehicles • 25%
Oppose California's standards • 25%
Support California's standards • 25%
No official statement • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Other response • 25%
Increase prices • 25%
Lobby against decision • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Positive industry response • 25%
Major industry pushback • 25%
Minor industry pushback • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Shift to non-Chinese/Russian suppliers • 25%
No major response • 25%
Delay new model releases • 25%
Lobby for policy changes • 25%
30% to 50% • 25%
Above 70% • 25%
51% to 70% • 25%
Below 30% • 25%
More than 90% • 25%
70% to 80% • 25%
Less than 70% • 25%
81% to 90% • 25%
35% to 50% • 25%
Less than 35% • 25%
More than 70% • 25%
51% to 70% • 25%
Ban overturned • 33%
Ban upheld • 33%
Compromise reached • 34%
Subaru • 25%
Mazda • 25%
Other • 25%
Ford • 25%