Market
What will be the outcome of investigations into UN and NGO roles in the border crisis by end of 2024?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
UN found responsible • 25%
NGOs found responsible • 25%
Both found responsible • 25%
Neither found responsible • 25%
Official reports from the Trump administration or credible news sources
Story
Tom Homan Announces January 20th Border Investigations, Deportation Measures, and Crackdown on Tren de Aragua Gang
Nov 30, 2024, 02:22 PM
Tom Homan, the incoming border czar under President-elect Donald Trump's administration, has announced a series of strict measures and investigations aimed at addressing the U.S. border crisis. Homan emphasized that harboring, impeding, or obstructing federal immigration enforcement is a crime and warned state and local officials, including mayors and governors, against interfering with mass deportations. He also revealed plans to investigate the Biden administration, the United Nations, and various non-governmental organizations (NGOs) for their alleged roles in contributing to the border crisis. Homan further stated that foreign countries and criminal organizations, such as the Tren de Aragua gang, would be held accountable for their involvement in crimes against U.S. citizens. The Trump administration's efforts, set to begin on January 20th, aim to restore law and order at the border and ensure transparency in addressing these issues.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Investigation not launched • 25%
Investigation completed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Investigation launched • 25%
Decreased involvement • 25%
Increased involvement • 25%
Other • 25%
No change • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
UNRWA exonerated • 25%
Some allegations confirmed • 25%
All allegations confirmed • 25%
Gang identified and apprehended • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
No conclusive identification • 25%
Gang identified but not apprehended • 25%
Increased diplomatic tensions • 25%
Other outcomes • 25%
No significant actions • 25%
New legislation introduced • 25%
Evidence leading to policy changes • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Some evidence, no action • 25%
No evidence of political persecution • 25%
Unclear motives • 25%
Other • 25%
Lone wolf attack • 25%
Part of larger network • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
No clear blame assigned • 25%
Blame assigned to another party • 25%
Blame assigned to Israeli forces • 25%
