Market
What will be the outcome of India-US trade and immigration discussions in 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Successful repatriation and no trade war • 25%
Partial repatriation and no trade war • 25%
Successful repatriation but trade war occurs • 25%
Partial repatriation and trade war occurs • 25%
Official government statements or credible news sources
Story
India to Repatriate 18,000 Illegal Migrants from US to Avoid Trade War with Trump Administration
Jan 21, 2025, 12:27 PM
India's government has expressed readiness to collaborate with Donald Trump's administration to identify and repatriate approximately 18,000 Indian citizens residing illegally in the United States. This move is seen as an effort to comply with the new American president's policies and avoid a potential trade war. The agreement comes as part of broader discussions between the two nations, aimed at protecting trade and visa pathways.
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Major Conflict • 25%
Improved Relations • 25%
No Change • 25%
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Partial Repatriation • 25%
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Extended Timeline • 25%
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New trade agreement • 25%
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Formal merger talks • 25%
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Increased military cooperation • 25%
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More Lenient • 25%
No significant change • 25%
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New trade agreement • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Escalation of trade tensions • 25%
Tariffs imposed • 25%
No significant developments • 25%
Ongoing negotiations • 25%
Tariffs avoided through negotiation • 25%
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Status quo maintained • 25%
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Tariffs imposed • 25%
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Trade tensions escalate • 25%
Tariffs imposed • 25%
New energy trade deal • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%