Market
What will be the outcome of Edmundo González Urrutia's attempt to assume presidency by December 31, 2025?
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Edmundo González Urrutia•Venezuela•Nicolás Maduro•National Assembly•Chavista•González Urrutia•Venezuelans•Maduro•Constitution•Cuba•Congo•Nicaragua
Resolution / Starting Odds
González Urrutia assumes presidency • 25%
Maduro retains presidency • 25%
Power-sharing agreement • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official announcements from Venezuelan government, credible news agencies, or international organizations
Story
Edmundo González Urrutia Denounces Maduro's Coup, Orders Military to Prepare for His Presidency
Jan 10, 2025, 10:27 PM
Edmundo González Urrutia, the opposition leader in Venezuela, has denounced what he describes as a coup by Nicolás Maduro, who was sworn in as president by the National Assembly controlled by the Chavista regime. González Urrutia, claiming to represent the will of nearly 8 million Venezuelans, ordered the military high command to disregard any illegal orders from those who have seized power. He also instructed them to prepare security conditions for his return to Venezuela to assume the presidency, asserting that Maduro's actions have violated the Constitution and the popular will expressed in the elections on July 28. González Urrutia accused Maduro of self-proclaiming as a dictator, supported only by the regimes of Cuba, Congo, and Nicaragua. He stated he is working on conditions for his safe entry into Venezuela to take office as mandated by the Constitution and the people's vote.
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Similar markets
Returns but does not assume presidency • 25%
Does not return • 25%
Successfully assumes presidency • 25%
Blocked by current government • 25%
Remains in opposition with little change • 25%
Gains significant political power • 25%
Other • 25%
Exiled or imprisoned • 25%
Decreased recognition • 25%
No change • 25%
Increased recognition • 25%
Other • 25%
No recognition • 25%
Mixed responses • 25%
Limited recognition • 25%
Widespread recognition of González Urrutia • 25%
Returns safely • 25%
Arrested • 25%
Other • 25%
Exiled again • 25%
Arrested • 25%
Inaugurated as President • 25%
Leaves Venezuela again • 25%
Remains in hiding • 25%
Successfully returns and assumes presidency • 25%
Returns but faces other outcomes • 25%
Does not return • 25%
Returns but is arrested • 25%
In exile • 25%
Leading opposition in Venezuela • 25%
Other status • 25%
In custody • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Successfully assumes presidency • 25%
Does not return • 25%
Returns but not arrested or assumes presidency • 25%
Arrested upon return • 25%
Returns voluntarily • 25%
Captured • 25%
Negotiates a settlement • 25%
Remains in exile • 25%
Other political role or status • 25%
Arrested or detained • 25%
Remains in exile • 25%
Recognized as Venezuelan President • 25%