Market
What will be the outcome of Congressional investigation into 2024 Election by June 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
No significant issues found • 25%
Significant issues found • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
Unclear/Other • 25%
Official Congressional reports, major news outlets
Story
Trump Claims 2024 Election 'Too Big to Rig', Refuses to Concede 2020
Dec 8, 2024, 03:36 PM
Former President Donald Trump has claimed that his victory in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election was 'too big to rig,' suggesting that the scale of the election made it immune to manipulation. This statement was made in response to questions about why the election was not stolen despite the increased power of his political opponents. Trump's comments come amidst discussions about the integrity of the electoral process, his refusal to concede the 2020 election, and the influence of right-wing media on public perception.
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Formal Censure • 25%
Other Outcomes • 25%
No Action Taken • 25%
Impeachment Proceedings • 25%
Major issues found • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
No issues found • 25%
Minor issues found • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Bolsonaro found not guilty • 25%
Bolsonaro found guilty • 25%
Evidence found, no charges • 25%
No evidence found • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Evidence found, charges filed • 25%
FBI exonerated • 25%
FBI criticized but no action • 25%
Formal action taken against FBI • 25%
FBI criticized with recommendations • 25%
No significant findings • 25%
Policy changes recommended • 25%
Other • 25%
Criminal charges recommended • 25%
New leads on shooter's motive • 25%
No wrongdoing found • 25%
FBI and DoJ found obstructing • 25%
Other findings • 25%
Policy changes recommended • 25%
Other • 25%
No further action taken • 25%
Further investigation recommended • 25%
Investigation concluded with no charges • 25%
No new investigation • 25%
Investigation concluded with charges • 25%
Investigation initiated • 25%
No evidence found • 25%
Conclusive evidence found • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
Inconclusive evidence • 25%
Certified without objection • 25%
Postponed • 25%
Certified with objections • 25%
Not certified • 25%
Evidence found, no charges • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
No evidence found • 25%
Evidence found, charges filed • 25%