Market
What will be the outcome of Assad's negotiations with Israel by June 30, 2025?
2
Israel•Saudi•Syrian•Aleppo•Assad•Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps•IRGC•Syria•Iranian•Hezbollah•European
Resolution / Starting Odds
Full agreement reached • 25%
Partial agreement reached • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Official announcements or credible news reports
Story
Assad Seeks Israel's Help as Aleppo Falls, Offers Iran's Removal
Dec 2, 2024, 03:58 PM
Syrian President Bashar al-Assad has reportedly reached out to Israel, via Saudi intermediaries, for assistance in countering advancing Syrian rebel forces, including jihadist factions that have overrun Aleppo. In exchange for Israel's help, Assad has allegedly offered to expel the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) and their proxies from Syria, halt Iranian weapons shipments to Hezbollah through Syrian territory, and engage through a European intermediary. Reports suggest that Israel has responded by demanding the removal of Iranian forces from Syria as a precondition for any potential cooperation. This development highlights the increasing pressure on Assad's regime amid rebel advances and internal challenges.
View original story
Similar markets
No agreement reached • 25%
Remains in power • 25%
Other • 25%
Agrees to exile • 25%
No progress • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Other diplomatic outcomes • 25%
Peace talks initiated • 25%
Ceasefire Agreement • 25%
Other • 25%
Partial Agreement • 25%
No Agreement • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Establishment of relations • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Other • 25%
Israel agrees to withdraw • 25%
Stalemate with no change • 25%
Israel increases presence • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Continued tensions without escalation • 25%
Other • 25%
Ceasefire agreement • 25%
Increased military actions • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
Resolution and ceasefire agreement • 25%
No agreement reached • 25%
Continued negotiations • 25%
Partial concession by Israel • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Full concession by Israel • 25%
No negotiations held • 25%
Strengthen ties • 25%
Maintain current ties • 25%
Reduce ties significantly • 25%
Cut ties completely • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Partial withdrawal by Israel • 25%
Complete withdrawal by Israel • 25%
No withdrawal by Israel • 25%
International intervention • 25%
Assad returns to power • 25%
New regime established • 25%
Ongoing civil conflict • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Increased tensions • 25%
No progress • 25%
Successful peace talks initiated • 25%