Market
What will be the outcome of a potential missile test in Kyiv by April 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Successful strike • 25%
Intercepted • 25%
No test conducted • 25%
Other • 25%
Reports from Ukrainian and Russian governments, international news agencies
Story
Putin Proposes Technological Duel with U.S. Using Oreshnik Hypersonic Missile Against Target in Kyiv Defenses
Dec 19, 2024, 10:10 AM
Russian President Vladimir Putin has proposed a 'technological duel' with the United States, suggesting that Western experts select a target in Kyiv and concentrate all air and missile defenses there. He stated that Russia would then strike the chosen site with its new Oreshnik hypersonic ballistic missile, which he claims is un-interceptable by missile defenses. Putin emphasized that Russia is prepared for such an experiment, challenging the effectiveness of Western missile defense systems. This proposal comes amid ongoing tensions between Russia and the West, particularly concerning military capabilities and defense strategies.
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Failure • 25%
Successful test • 25%
No test conducted • 25%
Partial success • 25%
Hit civilian target • 25%
Intercepted • 25%
No launch • 25%
Hit military target • 25%
Significant damage and casualties • 25%
No missile strike • 25%
Missile intercepted or failed launch • 25%
Limited damage, no casualties • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Diplomatic initiatives • 25%
Increased military operations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Request for international sanctions • 25%
Reversal of policy • 25%
Other • 25%
Continuation of current policy • 25%
Modification of policy • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
