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What will be the outcome of a no confidence vote against Trudeau by March 31, 2025?
4
Canadian•Justin Trudeau•Chrystia Freeland•Freeland•Parliament Hill•Trudeau•Parliament•Conservative•Pierre Poilievre•Canada•Liberal
Resolution / Starting Odds
Vote passes, Trudeau resigns • 25%
Vote passes, Trudeau remains • 25%
Vote fails • 25%
No vote initiated • 25%
Official records from the Canadian Parliament or major Canadian news outlets
Story
Trudeau Considers Resignation or Prorogation After Freeland's Exit, Faces No Confidence Vote
Dec 16, 2024, 06:49 PM
Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau is reportedly contemplating resignation or prorogation of Parliament following the unexpected resignation of Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland. Freeland's departure, announced in a letter posted on social media, has ignited a storm of confusion on Parliament Hill, especially as it coincides with the scheduled tabling of the fall economic statement. Sources indicate Trudeau has conveyed these considerations to his cabinet, and he is potentially planning to address Parliament this afternoon. Conservative Leader Pierre Poilievre has responded by considering a vote of no confidence against Trudeau, which could lead to an election if successful. The political landscape in Canada is currently in flux, with Trudeau's leadership under scrutiny and the Liberal government facing potential instability.
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Trudeau government survives • 25%
No vote held • 25%
Vote delayed • 25%
Trudeau government falls • 25%
Motion Fails • 33%
Motion Withdrawn • 34%
Motion Passes • 33%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Vote passes, government falls • 25%
Vote fails, government remains • 25%
Vote postponed • 25%
Vote cancelled • 25%
Trudeau government survives • 33%
No vote held • 34%
Trudeau government defeated • 33%
Motion withdrawn • 25%
Motion fails, government remains • 25%
Motion passes, government falls • 25%
Vote delayed • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Other outcome • 25%
Trudeau stays after negotiation • 25%
Trudeau stays without changes • 25%
Trudeau resigns • 25%