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Will Trudeau's government lose the no-confidence vote on Jan 27, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Canadian Parliamentary records and official announcements
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NDP Leader Jagmeet Singh Plans No-Confidence Vote Against Trudeau's Government on January 27, 2025
Dec 20, 2024, 05:02 PM
Jagmeet Singh, the leader of Canada's New Democratic Party (NDP), has announced that his party will introduce a motion of no-confidence against Prime Minister Justin Trudeau's Liberal government when Parliament resumes on January 27, 2025. This decision marks a significant shift in the NDP's support, as Singh stated the party 'will vote to bring this government down' in a letter. The move comes amid speculation that if all opposition parties unite in the vote, the ruling Liberals could be defeated, potentially leading to an early federal election. Singh's announcement coincides with his eligibility for a pension on February 25, 2025, raising questions about the timing of the no-confidence motion. The NDP's withdrawal of support for the minority Liberal government has put Trudeau's leadership in jeopardy, with analysts suggesting that this could lead to a snap election in Canada.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Motion Fails • 33%
Motion Withdrawn • 34%
Motion Passes • 33%
Trudeau government falls • 25%
No vote held • 25%
Vote delayed • 25%
Trudeau government survives • 25%
Trudeau government defeated • 33%
No vote held • 34%
Trudeau government survives • 33%
Motion fails, government remains • 25%
Motion withdrawn • 25%
Vote delayed • 25%
Motion passes, government falls • 25%
Vote passes, Trudeau resigns • 25%
No vote initiated • 25%
Vote fails • 25%
Vote passes, Trudeau remains • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%