Market
What will be the outcome of Liberal MPs' call for Trudeau's resignation by January 31, 2025?
4
Resolution / Starting Odds
Trudeau resigns • 25%
Trudeau stays after negotiation • 25%
Trudeau stays without changes • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Official statements from the Liberal Party or major news outlets like CBC or CTV News
Story
Canadian PM Trudeau May Resign Amid Liberal MPs' Calls After Freeland Quits Cabinet
Dec 16, 2024, 06:39 PM
Canadian Prime Minister Justin Trudeau is reportedly considering resigning or proroguing Parliament, according to sources cited by CTV News. The potential resignation follows the departure of Deputy Prime Minister and Finance Minister Chrystia Freeland, who resigned from the cabinet earlier today over disagreements on handling tariff threats from U.S. President Donald Trump. Trudeau has conveyed to his cabinet that he is weighing his options and may address Parliament later this afternoon. Meanwhile, Liberal Members of Parliament are publicly urging Trudeau to resign, with some appearing on CBC to voice their demands.
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Less than 20 • 25%
20 to 25 • 25%
More than 30 • 25%
26 to 30 • 25%
Motion Fails • 33%
Motion Passes • 33%
Motion Withdrawn • 34%
Vote delayed • 25%
No vote held • 25%
Trudeau government survives • 25%
Trudeau government falls • 25%
Vote passes, Trudeau resigns • 25%
No vote initiated • 25%
Vote fails • 25%
Vote passes, Trudeau remains • 25%
Other • 25%
Chrystia Freeland • 25%
Mark Carney • 25%
Melanie Joly • 25%
Other • 25%
Pierre Poilievre • 25%
Chrystia Freeland • 25%
Jagmeet Singh • 25%