Market
What will be the outcome for AfD in the next German federal election?
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Elon Musk•Tesla•Germany•Alternative for Germany•AfD•Halle•Musk•Germans•German•Olaf Scholz•European•Alice Weidel•Cologne
Resolution / Starting Odds
AfD gains majority • 25%
AfD remains in opposition • 25%
AfD loses seats • 25%
AfD gains coalition role • 25%
Official election results published by the Federal Returning Officer of Germany
Story
Elon Musk Backs AfD as Germany's 'Best Hope,' Sparking Protests and Criticism from Scholz
Jan 25, 2025, 02:08 PM
Elon Musk, CEO of Tesla and owner of social media platform X, addressed Germany's far-right Alternative for Germany (AfD) party via live video during their campaign launch event in Halle. Musk expressed his support for the AfD, stating that they are "the best hope for Germany" and urging Germans to vote for the party in the upcoming election. He remarked, "It is okay to be proud to be German," and added, "Children should not bear guilt for their parents' crimes." German Chancellor Olaf Scholz criticized Musk, saying, "Elon Musk is using his power on social media to 'intervene everywhere in the world,'" and warned that such actions endanger European unity and coexistence. The AfD's event in Halle, featuring their Chancellor candidate Alice Weidel, attracted thousands of members and supporters and was met with significant protests across Germany. In Cologne, at least 15,000 people participated in demonstrations against the far-right, according to police estimates.
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Similar markets
Wins majority • 25%
Forms coalition government • 25%
Remains in opposition • 25%
Other • 25%
AfD wins majority • 25%
AfD joins coalition government • 25%
AfD remains in opposition • 25%
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AfD joins coalition • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
AfD remains in opposition • 25%
AfD wins majority • 25%
AfD not represented in Bundestag • 25%
AfD increases its seats • 25%
AfD maintains its seats • 25%
AfD loses seats • 25%
AfD loses seats • 25%
AfD becomes part of a coalition government • 25%
AfD wins majority • 25%
AfD remains in opposition • 25%
AfD gains seats but not largest opposition • 25%
AfD remains similar to current standing • 25%
AfD becomes largest opposition party • 25%
AfD loses seats • 25%
AfD increases seats • 25%
AfD wins majority • 25%
AfD loses seats • 25%
AfD maintains seats • 25%
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