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What will be the official outcome of Kirillov's assassination investigation by December 31, 2025?
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Uzbek•Akhmad Kurbanov•Igor Kirillov•Russia•Kirillov•Ilya Polikarpov•Moscow•Federal Security Service•FSB•Kurbanov•Ukrainian•European•Chernoye•Russian
Resolution / Starting Odds
Ukrainian involvement confirmed • 25%
Involvement of other foreign entities • 25%
Act of domestic terrorism • 25%
Unsolved • 25%
Official reports from Russia's Investigative Committee or major news outlets
Story
Russia Detains 29-Year-Old Uzbek Over General Kirillov's Killing, Claims Ukrainian Involvement
Dec 18, 2024, 07:31 AM
Russian authorities have detained a 29-year-old Uzbek citizen, identified as Akhmad Kurbanov, in connection with the killing of Lieutenant General Igor Kirillov, head of Russia's Radiological, Chemical, and Biological Defense Forces. Kirillov and his aide, Ilya Polikarpov, were killed on Tuesday by a bomb hidden in an electric scooter near Kirillov's residence in Moscow. The Federal Security Service (FSB) said Kurbanov confessed to being recruited by Ukrainian special services, who allegedly offered him $100,000 and a European passport to carry out the assassination. The suspect was detained in the village of Chernoye, and the investigation is being conducted by Russia's Investigative Committee. Russian authorities claim the bombing was orchestrated by Ukrainian intelligence services.
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Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Ukraine officially blamed • 25%
Internal security breach identified • 25%
Investigation concludes without further arrests • 25%
Multiple arrests and convictions • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
Accidental • 25%
Terrorism • 25%
Other • 25%
Personal Dispute • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
SBU not implicated • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
SBU officially implicated • 25%
Internal Dissidents • 25%
Foreign Intelligence Agency • 25%
No official blame assigned • 25%
Ukraine • 25%
Internal Russian actors • 25%
Ukraine • 25%
Other foreign entities • 25%
No official blame assigned • 25%
Confirmed suicide • 25%
Ruled as homicide • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Other outcome • 25%