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What will be the official death toll from the Guinea football match stampede by December 31, 2024?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Less than 50 • 25%
50 to 75 • 25%
76 to 100 • 25%
More than 100 • 25%
Official reports from Guinea's health department or international news agencies
Story
Up to 100 Dead, Including Children, After Stampede at Guinea Football Match
Dec 2, 2024, 05:46 AM
Dozens of people, including children, were killed on Sunday in N'Zerekore, Guinea's second-largest city, following violent clashes during a football match. The incident was triggered by a disputed referee decision, leading to a stampede as fans invaded the pitch. Health officials reported that hospitals and morgues are overwhelmed, with some reports estimating fatalities could be as high as 100. One doctor stated that "the morgue is full." Guinea's Prime Minister Amadou Oury Bah stated that regional authorities are working to restore calm in the area. The football match was part of a tournament honoring military leader Mamady Doumbouya.
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Security forces found liable • 25%
No specific party found liable • 25%
Referee decisions found liable • 25%
Fans found liable • 25%
40 to 44 • 25%
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16 to 20 • 25%
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101 to 200 • 25%
50 to 100 • 25%
600 or more • 25%
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200 to 399 • 25%
400 to 599 • 25%
15 • 25%
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21-25 • 25%
16-20 • 25%
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1-5 • 25%
0 • 25%
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10-15 • 25%
More than 25 • 25%
21-25 • 25%
16-20 • 25%
250 or more • 25%
200-249 • 25%
150-199 • 25%
Less than 150 • 25%
Postponement of league matches • 25%
No official response • 25%
Financial compensation to victims' families • 25%
Public apology issued • 25%
24-31 deaths • 25%
8-15 deaths • 25%
16-23 deaths • 25%
32 or more deaths • 25%