Market
Investigation outcome of Guinea football match stampede by end of 2025
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Security forces found liable • 25%
Fans found liable • 25%
Referee decisions found liable • 25%
No specific party found liable • 25%
Official government report or reputable news agencies
Story
Up to 100 Dead After Stampede at Guinea Football Match in N'Zérékoré
Dec 2, 2024, 08:06 AM
Around 100 people, including children, were killed and several injured in a stampede following violent clashes at a football match in N'Zérékoré, Guinea's second-largest city, on Sunday. The incident occurred during the final of a tournament held in honor of Guinea's military leader, Mamady Doumbouya. The match was between local teams Labé and N'Zérékoré. Clashes erupted after a contested refereeing decision, leading to fans invading the pitch and security forces using tear gas. The ensuing chaos caused a deadly stampede, with bodies filling local hospitals and morgues. Prime Minister Amadou Oury Bah has confirmed the fatalities and is urging calm as investigations continue.
View original story
Similar markets
76 to 100 • 25%
Less than 50 • 25%
50 to 75 • 25%
More than 100 • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Between July 1 and December 31, 2025 • 25%
No major match scheduled • 25%
Before June 30, 2025 • 25%
After December 31, 2025 • 25%
No conclusive evidence found • 25%
Monel Félix found responsible • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Other gang leader found responsible • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Inconclusive • 25%
Foul play suspected • 25%
Other • 25%
Suicide confirmed • 25%
Blame assigned to Israeli forces • 25%
Blame assigned to another party • 25%
No clear blame assigned • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Felix found not guilty • 25%
Felix found guilty • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
Non-terror related • 25%
Lone wolf terrorist act • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Part of a larger plot • 25%
Accident due to weather • 25%
Negligence by crew • 25%
Equipment failure • 25%
Other • 25%
Figures significantly inflated • 25%
Figures confirmed accurate • 25%
Figures partially inflated • 25%
No conclusion reached • 25%
Investigation inconclusive • 25%
Other • 25%
Israel found responsible • 25%
No conclusive evidence • 25%