Market
What will be the next major policy change in US immigration enforcement by December 31, 2025?
2
Donald Trump•ICE•Tom Homan•Illinois•Utah•California•Minnesota•New York•Florida•Maryland•New Jersey•Massachusetts•Boston•Trump•Tijuana•Mexico
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased border patrols • 25%
Enhanced visa checks • 25%
Expanded deportation criteria • 25%
Stricter asylum rules • 25%
Official announcements from the DHS or US government
Story
ICE Arrests 538 Criminal Illegal Immigrants, Including Gang Members, Nationwide
Jan 24, 2025, 01:29 AM
In the initial days of President Donald Trump's administration, U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) has arrested over 538 illegal immigrants with criminal records in a nationwide crackdown, with 373 detainers lodged. Border Czar Tom Homan stated that over 1,300 individuals have been arrested so far, with more than 1,000 being criminals. The operation targeted undocumented immigrants with convictions for crimes such as sexual assault, robbery, burglary, aggravated assault, drug and weapons offenses, domestic violence, and resisting arrest. Raids were conducted across multiple states, including Illinois, Utah, California, Minnesota, New York, Florida, Maryland, New Jersey, and Massachusetts, including operations in sanctuary cities. In Boston, ICE agents arrested eight individuals, including members of the MS-13 gang, child sex offenders, suspected terrorists, and suspects wanted for murder and rape. The Trump administration has authorized immigration enforcement at schools and churches, reversing previous policies that limited such actions. Additionally, the first deportations under the new administration have begun, with migrants arriving in Tijuana, Mexico.
View original story
Similar markets
Status quo maintained • 25%
Looser policies • 25%
Stricter policies • 25%
Mixed changes • 25%
Stricter immigration policies • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Policy reversal • 25%
More lenient immigration policies • 25%
Increased military flights • 25%
New bilateral agreement with Mexico • 25%
Increased diplomatic efforts • 25%
Enhanced border security measures • 25%
Stricter deportation policies • 25%
More lenient policies • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other changes • 25%
No change • 25%
Other • 25%
More stringent laws • 25%
Less stringent laws • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Mass deportation plan initiated • 25%
New immigration policy introduced • 25%
No major changes • 25%
Remain-in-Mexico policy reinstated • 25%
Identification checks • 25%
Warrant procedures • 25%
Detention protocols • 25%
Other • 25%
Mixed changes • 25%
Stricter policies • 25%
Looser policies • 25%
No change • 25%
Revised visa regulations • 25%
Other • 25%
New asylum policies • 25%
Increased border security measures • 25%
None reversed • 25%
Humanitarian parole programs • 25%
CBP One app entry process • 25%
Temporary Protected Status (TPS) • 25%