Market
What changes will occur in U.S. immigration policy following the deportation operation by December 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Stricter immigration policies • 25%
More lenient immigration policies • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Policy reversal • 25%
Official announcements from the U.S. government or legislative changes
Story
U.S. Transportation Command Prepares C-130 and C-17 Aircraft for Deportation of Over 5,000 Migrants
Jan 22, 2025, 09:55 PM
The U.S. Transportation Command (USTRANSCOM) has been instructed by the Pentagon to prepare its military assets, including C-130 and C-17 aircraft, for migrant repatriation flights. This directive, reported by CNN, involves the use of military transport aircraft to support the deportation of over 5,000 individuals. President Trump has also directed the military to prepare to deploy 10,000 active-duty troops to the border in connection with this operation.
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Other • 25%
No change • 25%
Less stringent laws • 25%
More stringent laws • 25%
Uncertain/Other • 25%
More supportive • 25%
Less supportive • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increase by more than 20% • 25%
Decrease • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Increase by 10-20% • 25%
Policy partially implemented • 25%
Policy fully implemented • 25%
Policy not implemented • 25%
Policy blocked by courts • 25%
No change • 25%
Decrease • 25%
Increase slightly • 25%
Increase significantly • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Not implemented • 25%
Blocked by legal action • 25%
Fully implemented • 25%
Partially implemented • 25%
Major changes enacted • 25%
No changes enacted • 25%
Policies reversed by courts • 25%
Minor changes enacted • 25%
Operations postponed • 25%
Successful operations nationwide • 25%
Partial success with some field offices operational • 25%
Minimal operations conducted • 25%