Market
Will North Korean casualties in Kursk increase by 50% by June 30, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Reports from South Korean intelligence, Ukrainian military sources, or other credible military assessments
Story
North Korean Troops in Kursk Suffer 100 Killed, 1,000 Injured Due to Lack of Drone Experience
Dec 19, 2024, 03:26 AM
North Korean troops have suffered significant casualties while fighting alongside Russian forces in Russia's Kursk region, according to reports from South Korean intelligence and Ukrainian military sources. At least 100 North Korean soldiers have been killed and over 1,000 injured in recent combat operations. The high casualty rate is attributed to the North Korean soldiers' lack of experience with drone warfare and their deployment in unfamiliar open terrain. Ukrainian Special Operations Forces reported killing 50 North Korean soldiers and injuring 47 others over three days of fighting. Additionally, there have been reports of North Korean troops mistakenly killing 8 Russian soldiers due to language barriers, highlighting interoperability issues between the two forces. Approximately 11,000 North Korean troops have been deployed to the region.
View original story
Similar markets
Accidents or other causes • 25%
Friendly fire incidents • 25%
Combat with Ukrainian forces • 25%
Unknown/Unreported • 25%
5,000 to 7,000 • 25%
Less than 5,000 • 25%
7,001 to 9,000 • 25%
More than 9,000 • 25%
Withdrawal of troops • 25%
Increased deployment • 25%
Stalemate situation • 25%
Complete integration into Russian forces • 25%
