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What will be the next major military development announced by North Korea by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
New missile test • 25%
Nuclear test • 25%
Military parade • 25%
Other development • 25%
Reports from North Korean state media or international monitoring agencies
Story
North Korea Tests Submarine-Launched Cruise Missile; Kim Jong Un Oversees as Pyongyang Warns U.S.
Jan 25, 2025, 10:36 PM
North Korea successfully test-fired a strategic cruise missile on January 25, with leader Kim Jong Un personally overseeing the launch, according to state media KCNA. The missile, described as a submarine-launched cruise missile (SLCM), flew along an elliptical and figure-eight flight path, covering a distance of 1,500 kilometers over 7,507 to 7,511 seconds, and precisely hit its target. The test marks North Korea's first weapons test since U.S. President Donald Trump returned to office. Pyongyang stated that the launch was part of its efforts to bolster war deterrence capabilities and warned that "as long as the United States denies its sovereignty, we will respond with ultra-tough counteraction."
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No major development • 25%
Significant casualties reported • 25%
Increase in troop numbers • 25%
Withdrawal of troops • 25%
Cyber attack • 25%
Missile launch • 25%
Other military action • 25%
Nuclear test • 25%
Nuclear test • 25%
Military exercise • 25%
Other • 25%
Missile test • 25%
Nuclear test • 25%
Military exercise • 25%
Ballistic missile test • 25%
No action • 25%
Submarine-launched missile • 25%
Intercontinental ballistic missile • 25%
Short-range ballistic missile • 25%
Other • 25%
Other • 25%
Missile Test • 25%
Nuclear Test • 25%
Cyber Attack • 25%
Other • 25%
Enhanced Cyber Warfare • 25%
New Missile Technology • 25%
Improved Conventional Forces • 25%
Nuclear test • 25%
No major action • 25%
Diplomatic engagement • 25%
Another missile test • 25%
Medium-range missile • 25%
Hypersonic missile • 25%
Long-range missile • 25%
Short-range missile • 25%
Intercontinental ballistic missile • 25%
Intermediate-range ballistic missile • 25%
Short-range ballistic missile • 25%
Hypersonic missile • 25%
Change in deployment strategy • 25%
Increased training • 25%
Unknown strategy • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Increased Military Drills • 25%
Other • 25%
Diplomatic Engagement • 25%
Cyber Attacks • 25%