Market
What will be the major findings in a new WHO report on COVID-19 origins by the end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
New evidence supports natural origin • 25%
New evidence supports lab origin • 25%
No new significant findings • 25%
Further research required • 25%
Publication of the WHO report
Story
WHO Urges China to Share COVID-19 Origins Data; China Claims Full Transparency
Dec 31, 2024, 07:30 AM
On the fifth anniversary of the COVID-19 pandemic's onset, the World Health Organization (WHO) has renewed its call for China to share data and grant access to understand the origins of the virus, stating that "We continue to call on China to share data and access so we can understand the origins of COVID-19. This is a moral and scientific imperative." China's response was that it has already shared information "without holding anything back" and emphasized that origins tracing should be a global effort. The initial cases of "viral pneumonia" were reported to the WHO by authorities in Wuhan, China, on December 31, 2019, marking the beginning of the pandemic. Since then, COVID-19 has resulted in nearly 7 million deaths worldwide and has had profound impacts on global health systems and economies.
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Inconclusive • 25%
Supports lab origin • 25%
Supports natural origin • 25%
No new findings • 25%
Supports lab origin • 25%
Supports natural origin • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
No such study published • 25%
Other actions • 25%
Launch new investigation • 25%
End current investigations • 25%
Issue new guidelines • 25%
Confirms lab leak • 25%
Refutes lab leak • 25%
Calls for more research • 25%
No definitive conclusion • 25%
Other • 25%
Lab Leak Theory • 25%
Natural Zoonotic Origin • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Confirmed natural origin • 25%
Inconclusive • 25%
Confirmed lab leak • 25%
No official conclusion • 25%
No new data provided • 25%
Negotiations ongoing • 25%
Partial data provided • 25%
China provides new data • 25%
Data Fully Shared • 25%
Partial Data Shared • 25%
No Data Shared • 25%
Ongoing Negotiations • 25%
Animal origin confirmed • 25%
Lab origin confirmed • 25%
New hypothesis emerges • 25%
No new discovery • 25%
Lab origin • 33%
Natural origin • 33%
Inconclusive • 34%