Market
What will be the legal outcome for Sierra-Leyva related to the Kenneth Fire by end of 2025?
2
Resolution / Starting Odds
Conviction for arson • 25%
Conviction for other charges • 25%
Acquittal • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Court records or official announcements
Story
Illegal Alien Juan Sierra-Leyva Arrested in LA After Arson Suspicion; ICE Detainer May Be Ignored
Jan 13, 2025, 02:12 AM
Authorities have detained a man, identified as Juan Manuel Sierra-Leyva, near the Kenneth Fire in West Hills, California. Sierra-Leyva, an illegal alien from Mexico, was found carrying a blowtorch and was subdued by local residents before being arrested by police. Residents accused him of attempting to start fires in the area. He has been taken into custody on a probation violation but has not been charged with arson. Immigration and Customs Enforcement (ICE) has placed a detainer request on him with the Los Angeles County Sheriff's Department. However, due to California's sanctuary state laws, the detainer is not expected to be honored.
View original story
Similar markets
Guilty • 25%
Other outcome • 25%
Case Dismissed • 25%
Not Guilty • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Convicted of arson • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Plea deal • 25%
Suspect charged and convicted • 25%
No charges filed • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
Suspect charged and acquitted • 25%
Found Liable • 25%
Not Liable • 25%
Ongoing by End of 2025 • 25%
Settled Out of Court • 25%
No significant issues found • 25%
Water management issues identified • 25%
Combination of issues identified • 25%
Equipment or personnel issues identified • 25%
Natural causes • 25%
Other • 25%
Accidental human activity • 25%
Arson • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Convicted of a lesser charge • 25%
Convicted of arson • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Conviction • 25%
Ongoing • 25%
Acquittal • 25%
Case Dismissed • 25%
Case Dismissed • 25%
Plea Bargain • 25%
Guilty • 25%
Not Guilty • 25%