Market
What will be the outcome of the arson investigation for the Kenneth Fire by June 30, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Suspect charged and convicted • 25%
Suspect charged and acquitted • 25%
No charges filed • 25%
Investigation ongoing • 25%
Los Angeles County court records or official press releases
Story
Residents Detain Suspected Arsonist as Kenneth Fire Burns Over 1,000 Acres in Los Angeles County
Jan 10, 2025, 03:37 AM
Los Angeles authorities are investigating the Kenneth Fire in Los Angeles County as a case of arson. A suspect, a homeless man in his 30s, is in custody after being detained by residents who reportedly saw him attempting to start a fire with a blowtorch. The fire, which began on Thursday afternoon at the Victory Trailhead—now declared a crime scene—has burned over 1,000 acres in the Calabasas, West Hills, and Woodland Hills areas. Firefighters are battling the blaze as it continues to threaten homes and has prompted evacuations.
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Other outcome • 25%
Guilty • 25%
Not Guilty • 25%
Case Dismissed • 25%
Other • 25%
Accidental human activity • 25%
Natural causes • 25%
Arson • 25%
Undetermined • 25%
Suspicious • 25%
Accidental • 25%
Other • 25%
Conviction for arson • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Conviction for other charges • 25%
Acquittal • 25%
Acquitted • 25%
Plea deal • 25%
Case dismissed • 25%
Convicted of arson • 25%
Equipment or personnel issues identified • 25%
Combination of issues identified • 25%
No significant issues found • 25%
Water management issues identified • 25%
Negligence • 25%
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Inconclusive • 25%
Accidental • 25%
Undetermined • 25%
Arson • 25%
Accidental • 25%
Related to IEDs • 25%
