Market
What will be the international response to the Azerbaijan Airlines plane crash by June 30, 2025?
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Azerbaijan•Ilham Aliyev•Russia•Azerbaijan Airlines Embraer 190•Aktau•Kazakhstan•Aliyev•Moscow•Russian•Vladimir Putin
Resolution / Starting Odds
Sanctions on Russia • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
Joint investigation • 25%
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Official statements from international organizations or news reports
Story
Aliyev Says Russia Shot Down Plane Killing 38, Demands Admission of Guilt
Dec 29, 2024, 02:46 PM
Azerbaijan's President Ilham Aliyev has accused Russia of unintentionally shooting down an Azerbaijan Airlines Embraer 190 passenger plane that crashed near Aktau, Kazakhstan, on December 25, killing 38 people. Aliyev demanded that Moscow admit guilt, punish those responsible, and pay compensation to the victims. He criticized Russian authorities for attempting to conceal the true cause of the disaster, alleging that some in Russia lied about it. The plane was reportedly damaged by shooting from the ground while flying over Russian territory before crashing. Russian President Vladimir Putin had earlier apologized to Aliyev for the tragedy.
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Diplomatic talks initiated • 25%
Other • 25%
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No action taken • 25%
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Sanctions on Russia • 25%
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Other • 25%
Joint investigation • 25%
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No significant action • 25%
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Sanctions considered but not implemented • 25%
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Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
Sanctions against Russia • 25%
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No action • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Sanctions on Russia • 25%
Joint investigation • 25%
Negative response • 25%
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Positive response • 25%
Neutral response • 25%
Diplomatic Condemnation • 25%
Mediation Efforts • 25%
No Action • 25%
Sanctions against Russia • 25%
Ongoing investigation • 25%
Unresolved with no accountability • 25%
Comprehensive resolution with accountability • 25%
Partial resolution with some accountability • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Pilot error • 25%
Mechanical failure • 25%
Other cause • 25%
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Request for compensation • 25%
Military response • 25%
Formal protest • 25%
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