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What will be the international response to the Israel-Hezbollah ceasefire situation by March 5, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
UN intervention • 25%
EU mediation • 25%
US diplomatic pressure • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Statements from the UN, EU, or major world powers reported by credible news agencies
Story
Israel's Defense Minister Katz Threatens Action if Hezbollah Doesn't Withdraw Beyond Litani River by Deadline
Jan 5, 2025, 11:03 AM
Israel has accused Hezbollah of violating the terms of a ceasefire agreement in southern Lebanon and has threatened to take forceful action if the militant group does not comply. Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz stated that the first condition for the ceasefire requires Hezbollah's complete withdrawal beyond the Litani River, disarmament, and the dismantling of its terror infrastructure by the Lebanese Army—conditions that have not been met. Katz warned that if Hezbollah fails to withdraw by the 60-day deadline, "there will be no agreement," and Israel will act independently to ensure the safe return of its residents in the northern region. The fragile truce, which began in November, has been in place for over a month but remains under strain due to ongoing violations and mutual accusations between Israel and Hezbollah, including hundreds of alleged breaches.
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UN calls for peace talks • 25%
UN imposes sanctions on Lebanon • 25%
UN imposes sanctions on Israel • 25%
No significant international action • 25%
Predominantly negative • 25%
Largely indifferent • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Broad support • 25%
Mixed response • 25%
No official response • 25%
Negative response • 25%
Positive response • 25%
EU diplomatic intervention • 25%
Increased US involvement • 25%
UN sanctions on Hezbollah • 25%
No significant international action • 25%
Call for Renewed Ceasefire • 25%
Increased Pressure on Israel • 25%
No Significant Response • 25%
Increased Support for Lebanon • 25%
Broad support • 25%
Indifference • 25%
Predominantly negative • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
EU supports but with caution • 25%
US issues critical response • 25%
Mixed international reactions • 25%
UN supports and praises agreement • 25%
Critical • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Supportive • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Broad support • 25%
UN issues a resolution supporting the ceasefire • 25%
Mixed responses from international community • 25%
No significant response from the UN • 25%
UN issues a resolution condemning the ceasefire • 25%
Widespread criticism • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Widespread support • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Mild criticism • 25%
Strong condemnation • 25%
No official response • 25%
Support for Israel's actions • 25%