Market
What will be the international reaction to a military strike against Iran within one month of the event in 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Condemnation • 25%
Support • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Statements from the United Nations, EU, and major world powers
Story
After November Meeting, Israeli Minister Ron Dermer Believes Trump Will Support Military Action Against Iran's Nuclear Facilities
Jan 6, 2025, 03:09 PM
Following a meeting in November, Israeli Minister of Strategic Affairs Ron Dermer reportedly concluded that U.S. President Donald Trump is likely to support or even initiate a military strike against Iran's nuclear facilities. This assessment, based on information from Axios and two unnamed sources, suggests that Trump may back an Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) operation or order a U.S. strike. Dermer's impressions were shaped by discussions held at Mar-a-Lago, where the potential for military action against Iran's nuclear program was a focal point. Analysts note that Israel possesses various capabilities to target Iran's nuclear infrastructure if it chooses to proceed with such an operation.
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Other responses • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Support from NATO allies • 25%
Condemnation by UN • 25%
Calls for Diplomacy • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Mixed Reactions • 25%
Support • 25%
Mixed responses • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Support by NATO • 25%
Condemnation by UN • 25%
Other • 25%
Support or neutrality • 25%
Condemnation and sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic talks initiated • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Other • 25%
Neutral • 25%
Support • 25%
Neutral stance • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Support • 25%
Sanctions on Israel • 25%
No significant action • 25%
EU diplomatic efforts • 25%
US sanctions • 25%
UN intervention • 25%
Support for Israel • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%
Sanctions against Israel • 25%
Condemnation by UN • 25%
Mixed reactions • 25%
Minimal international response • 25%
Condemnation and sanctions • 25%
Widespread support for Israel • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%
Support for Israel • 25%
Condemnation by the UN • 25%
Sanctions on Israel • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%
Increased sanctions on Yemen • 25%
Diplomatic talks initiated • 25%
UN condemnation • 25%
UN intervention • 25%
US sanctions • 25%
EU diplomatic efforts • 25%
No international response • 25%