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What will be the impact on Syrian government support due to halted Iranian flights by May 31, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Significant reduction in support • 25%
Moderate reduction in support • 25%
No change in support • 25%
Increased support from other allies • 25%
Reports from credible international media and statements from Syrian government officials
Story
Israel Threatens to Shoot Down Two Iranian Flights Over Weapons Concerns, Forces Return to Iran
Dec 7, 2024, 09:35 PM
In recent days, two flights operated by a private Iranian airline were forced to turn back while en route to Damascus after Israel issued warnings that it would shoot them down if they entered Syrian airspace. The New York Times reported that Israel expressed concerns that the flights were transferring weapons and possibly carrying troops to support the Syrian government. This incident complicates Iran's ability to mobilize forces to assist President Bashar al-Assad amid ongoing tensions in the region.
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Increased opposition activity • 25%
Strengthening of Assad's regime • 25%
Escalation of internal conflict • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Assad Overthrown • 25%
Rebel Gains • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Complete Rebel Defeat • 25%
No support • 25%
Military support • 25%
Economic support • 25%
Diplomatic support • 25%
Increased attacks • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Seek negotiations • 25%
Other impact • 25%
Increased stability • 25%
Decreased stability • 25%
No significant change • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Improved relations with Iran • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Strained relations with neighboring countries • 25%
Improved relations with Western countries • 25%
Closer ties with Western countries • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Closer ties with Russia • 25%
Closer ties with China • 25%
