Market
How will Syrian rebels respond to increased Iranian support by May 31, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased attacks • 25%
Seek negotiations • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Reports from credible news agencies, statements from rebel groups
Story
Iran to Send Missiles, Drones, and Increase Military Advisors to Syria; Ready to Deploy Ground Forces
Dec 6, 2024, 10:53 AM
Iran plans to send missiles and drones to Syria and increase the number of its military advisers to support President Bashar al-Assad in his battle against rebels, according to a senior Iranian official quoted by Reuters on Friday. The official stated that Tehran has taken all necessary steps to increase its military presence in Syria and is providing intelligence and satellite support to the Syrian government. Tehran is prepared to send ground forces to Syria, but Damascus has not yet requested this, and it is their decision. The decision involves Syria and Russia intensifying strikes against the rebels.
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US military intervention • 25%
UN imposes sanctions • 25%
No significant international action • 25%
EU diplomatic intervention • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
UN intervention • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Diplomatic talks initiated • 25%
Sanctions on Assad • 25%
Syrian Democratic Forces • 25%
Free Syrian Army • 25%
National Coalition for Syrian Revolutionary and Opposition Forces • 25%
Other • 25%
Military intervention • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations initiated • 25%
Condemnation and sanctions • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Complete Rebel Defeat • 25%
Rebel Gains • 25%
Assad Overthrown • 25%
Stalemate • 25%
Iran deploys troops • 25%
Iran provides logistical support only • 25%
Other form of assistance • 25%
Iran provides no assistance • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Other • 25%
Maintain current stance • 25%
Focus on regional alliances • 25%
Increase diplomatic efforts for peace • 25%
Withdraw from regional involvement • 25%