Market
What will be the geopolitical shift in Serbia's alliances by December 31, 2025?
3
Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased ties with EU • 25%
Increased ties with Russia • 25%
Maintains current alliances • 25%
Diversifies alliances • 25%
International relations reports and government announcements
Story
U.S. to Sanction Serbia's NIS Oil Company, 50% Owned by Gazprom Neft, Over Russian Ties
Dec 14, 2024, 07:40 AM
The United States is preparing to impose sanctions on Serbia's Petroleum Industry, known as NIS, in the coming days due to its significant Russian ownership. Serbian President Aleksandar Vučić announced that NIS is 50% owned by Gazprom Neft and 6.15% by Gazprom, which has prompted U.S. action. Vučić indicated he would seek discussions with American officials regarding the sanctions. The move reflects ongoing tensions in U.S.-Serbia relations, with calls for Serbia to diversify its geopolitical partnerships amidst these developments.
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Similar markets
United States • 25%
Russia • 25%
Other • 25%
China • 25%
Existing alliances strengthened • 25%
Existing alliances weakened • 25%
New military alliances formed • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Serbia buys stake • 25%
Other resolution • 25%
Third party buys stake • 25%
Gazprom Neft retains stake • 25%
Other changes • 25%
Stricter regulations • 25%
No change • 25%
Increased oversight • 25%
Aligns with Iran • 25%
Aligns with Saudi Arabia • 25%
Aligns with Turkey • 25%
Remains neutral • 25%
Closer to EU • 25%
Other alignment • 25%
Maintains balance • 25%
Closer to Russia • 25%
Increased support for Iran • 25%
Increased support for Israel • 25%
New alliance against Israel • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Other • 25%
European Union • 25%
Russia • 25%
United States • 25%
Pro-Russia alignment • 33%
Pro-NATO alignment • 33%
Neutral alignment • 34%
No significant change • 25%
Strengthened ties • 25%
Weakened ties • 25%
Other • 25%