Market
Georgia's primary international alignment by December 2025?
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Mikheil Kavelashvili•West•Georgia•anti•Tbilisi•European Union•Georgian Dream•Russia•EU•Salome Zourabichvili•France•Kavelashvili•Orbeliani Palace•American
Resolution / Starting Odds
European Union • 25%
Russia • 25%
United States • 25%
Other • 25%
Official foreign policy statements or credible international relations analyses
Story
Kavelashvili Sworn In as Georgia's President Amid Protests, Outgoing Leader Rejects Legitimacy
Dec 29, 2024, 01:40 PM
Mikheil Kavelashvili, a 53-year-old former footballer and hardline critic of the West, was sworn in as Georgia's president on Sunday amid a political crisis and major protests. Associated with the anti-Western People's Power party, his inauguration at the parliament building in Tbilisi took place under tight security and was boycotted by opposition groups. The government's decision to freeze European Union application talks has sparked widespread unrest, with protesters accusing the ruling Georgian Dream party of "stealing the October general elections" and moving closer to Russia. Outgoing pro-EU president Salome Zourabichvili, who was born in France, refused to recognize Kavelashvili's legitimacy, stating, "I am leaving and taking legitimacy with me," as she left the Orbeliani Palace. Thousands of demonstrators, some waving American flags and holding symbolic "red cards" as a nod to Kavelashvili's football past, gathered outside the parliament to protest his presidency. Police have reportedly begun detaining protesters amid the escalating tensions.
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Other alignment • 25%
Closer to Russia • 25%
Maintains current status • 25%
Closer to EU • 25%
Closer to Russia • 25%
No significant change • 25%
Other • 25%
Closer to EU/US • 25%
Other • 25%
Georgia forms new EU-related agreements • 25%
No significant changes • 25%
Georgia resumes EU accession talks • 25%
Deteriorated relations • 25%
Improved relations • 25%
Other • 25%
No significant change • 25%
No Action • 25%
Other • 25%
Economic Sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic Sanctions • 25%
Continued Suspension • 25%
Other • 25%
Reengagement • 25%
Further Sanctions • 25%
Neutral alignment • 34%
Pro-NATO alignment • 33%
Pro-Russia alignment • 33%
Progress towards membership • 25%
Membership achieved • 25%
Membership aspirations abandoned • 25%
Stalled negotiations • 25%
No change • 25%
Stalled • 25%
Significant progress • 25%
Withdrawn application • 25%