Market
What will be the estimated Ukrainian military casualties by end of 2025?
2
Donald Trump•Ukraine•Russia•China•Ukrainian•Volodymyr Zelenskyy•Trump•French•Emmanuel Macron•Russian invasion•Zelenskyy•Russian
Resolution / Starting Odds
Less than 50,000 • 25%
50,000 to 100,000 • 25%
100,001 to 150,000 • 25%
More than 150,000 • 25%
Official reports from the Ukrainian government or verified international organizations
Story
Trump Calls for Ceasefire, Claims Ukraine Lost 400,000 Soldiers; Zelenskyy Counters with Official Figures
Dec 8, 2024, 10:51 AM
Former U.S. President Donald Trump has called for an immediate ceasefire and negotiations between Ukraine and Russia, suggesting that China could assist in the talks. He claimed that Ukraine has lost 400,000 soldiers and is seeking a deal. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy reacted to Trump's statement after meeting with French President Emmanuel Macron. He disclosed that Ukraine has lost 43,000 soldiers with 370,000 wounded since the start of the full-scale Russian invasion. Zelenskyy reported that Russian losses exceed 750,000 personnel, including 198,000 killed and more than 550,000 wounded. He emphasized that any peace agreement must ensure lasting peace.
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21-30 • 25%
11-20 • 25%
0-10 • 25%
More than 30 • 25%
Russian government • 25%
Independent media • 25%
International organizations • 25%
Ukrainian government • 25%
Ukraine gains territorial advantage • 25%
Peace agreement signed • 25%
Conflict continues with no resolution • 25%
Russia gains territorial advantage • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Conflict ongoing • 25%
War has ended • 25%
Ceasefire in place • 25%
Escalated to larger conflict • 25%
Increase in aid • 25%
Maintain current aid levels • 25%
Complete cessation of aid • 25%
Decrease in aid • 25%
Ukraine regains territory • 25%
Russia gains significant ground • 25%
Status quo remains • 25%
Other • 25%
Decreased conflict • 25%
Status quo maintained • 25%
Increased conflict • 25%
Peace agreement reached • 25%
Decrease • 25%
Significant increase • 25%
Moderate increase • 25%
No change • 25%
