Market
What will be Russia's reaction to Germany's Patriot deployment in Poland by February 28, 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Diplomatic Protest • 25%
Military Exercises Near Border • 25%
No Reaction • 25%
Other • 25%
Statements from Russian government officials or credible media reports
Story
Germany to Deploy Patriot Systems to Poland in January 2025 Amid $2.5 Billion Eastern Shield Project with 3,500 Barriers
Nov 30, 2024, 12:17 PM
Germany has offered to deploy Patriot air defense systems to Poland, set to begin in January 2025. This decision comes amid heightened tensions, as Russia has been testing missiles near Poland's borders. German Defense Minister Boris Pistorius stated that the deployment aims to protect a crucial logistics center in Poland that is vital for supplying materials to Ukraine. Concurrently, Poland is enhancing its border security through the 'Eastern Shield' initiative, which includes the installation of 3,500 concrete barriers along its border with Russia and plans to extend these fortifications to the border with Ukraine. Polish Prime Minister Donald Tusk emphasized that this expansion is part of a broader strategy to ensure safety along the eastern borders, with an allocated budget of $2.5 billion for the project.
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Increase own military capabilities • 25%
Seek diplomatic resolutions • 25%
Request NATO intervention • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Military response • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Diplomatic protest • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Cyber operations • 25%
Increased military presence • 25%
Diplomatic talks • 25%
Increased sanctions • 25%
Military exercises • 25%
No significant reaction • 25%
No actions taken • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Closure of more consulates • 25%
Increased military actions • 25%
Other • 25%
Diplomatic protests • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Diplomatic condemnations • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Military response or exercises • 25%
Military exercises • 25%
Diplomatic protest • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
No response • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Increased military presence in Eastern Europe • 25%
Economic sanctions on Russia or Belarus • 25%
