Market
What will NATO's response be to Oreshnik missile deployment in Belarus by March 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Increased military presence in Eastern Europe • 25%
Economic sanctions on Russia or Belarus • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Statements or actions from NATO or member countries reported by reputable news agencies
Story
Putin Plans Oreshnik Missile Deployment in Belarus by 2025, Following Nuclear Missile Stationing, Renewing Threat to Europe and Ukraine
Dec 10, 2024, 10:00 AM
Russian President Vladimir Putin announced plans to deploy the new Oreshnik intermediate-range ballistic missile system in Belarus by the end of 2025. This development poses a renewed threat to Europe and Ukraine, particularly as Russia has already stationed nuclear missiles in Belarus. The Oreshnik missile has been used in combat in Ukraine, marking its first operational deployment. The announcement was made during a meeting with Belarusian President Alexander Lukashenko, highlighting the growing military cooperation between Russia and Belarus amidst ongoing tensions in the region.
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No significant response • 25%
Other • 25%
Increased military presence in Eastern Europe • 25%
Diplomatic sanctions • 25%
Diplomatic protest • 25%
Military exercises • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
No response • 25%
Diplomatic condemnations • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Military response or exercises • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Sanctions on Russia • 25%
Increased military presence in Eastern Europe • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No significant response • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Increased military presence in Eastern Europe • 25%
Condemnation • 25%
Increased sanctions on Russia • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Deployment of additional troops to Eastern Europe • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Economic sanctions • 25%
Increased military presence in Eastern Europe • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Diplomatic condemnation only • 25%
No significant response • 25%
Increased sanctions on Russia • 25%
Military support to Ukraine • 25%
Diplomatic negotiations • 25%
Sanctions imposed • 25%
Military response • 25%
No significant response • 25%