Market
What will be California's response to Trump's conditions by end of 2025?
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Only voter ID laws implemented • 25%
Only water policy changes implemented • 25%
Both conditions implemented • 25%
Neither condition implemented • 25%
California state government announcements and federal aid records
Story
Trump Links California Wildfire Aid to Voter ID Laws and Releasing Water to Los Angeles
Jan 24, 2025, 04:32 PM
President Donald Trump has announced that federal disaster aid to California, including relief for wildfires affecting Los Angeles, will depend on the state meeting two conditions: implementing voter identification laws and adjusting water policies to allow increased water flow into Los Angeles and throughout the state. "I want to see two things in Los Angeles: Voter ID, so that the people have a chance to vote, and I want to see the water be released and come down into Los Angeles and throughout the state," Trump stated. He indicated that once these conditions are met, "they'll get a lot of help from the U.S." and added that he would then "be the greatest president that California has ever seen." This is the first time Trump has linked federal aid to the adoption of voter ID laws and changes in water management policies, which involve releasing water from Northern California to benefit farmers and address water needs throughout the state.
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Similar markets
Implement water management changes only • 25%
Implement neither policy • 25%
Implement voter ID only • 25%
Implement both policies • 25%
Complies with neither condition • 25%
Complies with voter ID condition • 25%
Complies with water reforms • 25%
Complies with both conditions • 25%
Complies with voter ID only • 25%
Complies with both conditions • 25%
Does not comply with either • 25%
Complies with water policy only • 25%
Both conditions met • 25%
Neither condition met • 25%
Voter ID laws implemented • 25%
Water reforms enacted • 25%
Full aid provided • 25%
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Aid withheld • 25%
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No • 50%
Yes • 50%
Only water policy changes implemented • 25%
Both conditions met • 25%
Neither condition met • 25%
Only voter ID laws implemented • 25%
No • 50%
Yes • 50%
New legislation introduced • 25%
No significant measures • 25%
Increased law enforcement measures • 25%
Public awareness campaign • 25%
Public campaign to counter accusations • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Policy changes on water management • 25%
Legal action against Trump • 25%