Market
California's response to Trump's conditions by June 30, 2025
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Resolution / Starting Odds
Complies with both conditions • 25%
Complies with voter ID only • 25%
Complies with water policy only • 25%
Does not comply with either • 25%
Official announcements from California state government regarding policy changes
Story
Trump Conditions California Disaster Aid on Voter ID and Water Policy Amid LA Wildfires
Jan 24, 2025, 04:18 PM
President Donald Trump has outlined two conditions for California to receive federal disaster aid following wildfires in Los Angeles. The conditions include the implementation of voter ID laws and changes to water policy to allow water to flow into Los Angeles and throughout the state. Trump stated that these measures are necessary for him to be considered a great president for California, promising significant federal assistance if these conditions are met.
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Only water policy changes implemented • 25%
Neither condition implemented • 25%
Both conditions implemented • 25%
Only voter ID laws implemented • 25%
Implement voter ID only • 25%
Implement both policies • 25%
Implement neither policy • 25%
Implement water management changes only • 25%
Complies with voter ID condition • 25%
Complies with neither condition • 25%
Complies with both conditions • 25%
Complies with water reforms • 25%
Water reforms enacted • 25%
Neither condition met • 25%
Both conditions met • 25%
Voter ID laws implemented • 25%
Policy changes on water management • 25%
Legal action against Trump • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Public campaign to counter accusations • 25%
Public awareness campaign • 25%
No significant measures • 25%
Increased law enforcement measures • 25%
New legislation introduced • 25%
Yes • 50%
No • 50%
Negotiation with federal government • 25%
Public protest and advocacy • 25%
No significant action • 25%
Legal challenge • 25%
Other • 25%
Immigration support • 25%
Legal battles against federal policies • 25%
Wildfire recovery • 25%